A step towards the recognition of ORDLO: what are the risks and opportunities for Ukraine posed by Russia’s withdrawal from the Minsk agreements
Maria Zolkina, analyst at the Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation, has analysed the risks and opportunities for Ukraine posed by Russia’s withdrawal from the Minsk agreements in her article for European Pravda.
While the whole world is waiting for a possible military escalation from Russia, the Kremlin is taking a step towards recognising the independence of the so-called “republics” in the occupied Donbas.
The State Duma of the Russian Federation made a corresponding appeal to Vladimir Putin on February 15. It is noteworthy that Russian MPs supported the draft appeal submitted by the opposition Communists, rejecting a more moderate draft of the “Yedinaya Rossiya”. This issue was sent for consideration to the department of Sergei Lavrov.
What does such a step by the Russian Federation mean? Should we expect the Russian president to recognise these pseudo-formations as “states”? And how will this change the negotiating schedules between Ukraine, Russia, and the West? And most importantly – which of the possible scenarios is safer for Ukraine?