During May 27 – June 3 2015, Ilko Kucheriv “Democratic initiatives” Foundation conducted an expert survey “The first year of President Poroshenko”. The purpose of the survey was to find the opinion of experts on major achievements and failures of President Poroshenko during the first year of his term, as well as their advice to the President on what should be his next steps. A total of 30 experts were questioned. The survey was conducted with financial support from the European Union and the National Endowment for Democracy (USA).

In the first quarter of 2015, exports of goods and services from Ukraine decreased by 32.6% compared to the previous year. Imports fell by 35.6%.

In order to analyse the first year of Poroshenko’s presidency, 10 key points, based on his presidential election program, were identified by the experts of the International Centre for Policy Studies. These points, almost entirely, were later copied for the parliamentary campaign of the “Bloc of Petro Poroshenko”.

A new issue of the Macroeconomic Forecast Ukraine №5(92) by the Institute of Economic Research and Policy Consulting includes GDP estimates and its components, fiscal indicators, balance of payments, inflation, exchange rate for current and next years.

Recent Ukrstat data indicate that Ukrainian economy likely reached the bottom and is likely to stabilize in the second half of the year. The IER expects that real GDP will drop by near 9% in 2015 due to sharp contraction of domestic demand. The escalation of military conflict and return to populistic policies are seen as the main risks of the forecast. Still, if our assumptions hold real GDP is expected to grow by 1.6% in 2016.

In the framework of the project “Improving implementation of Ukraine’s commitments within the Energy Community through enhancing impact of civil society”, carried out with the financial support of the European Union, “DiXi Group” publishes the 5th quarterly newsletter on the state of implementation of related reforms by Ukraine.

This policy paper was prepared within the joint project of the Institute of World Policy and Caucasian House “Ukraine: out of the crisis through dialogue”, supported by the British Embassy in Ukraine.

During his election campaign, Poroshenko repeatedly stated that it was necessary to reform public administration, create a professional body of public servants, improve social welfare and enhance responsibility.

The on-going negotiations on Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Agreements between the EU, Armenia, Georgia, Moldova and Ukraine, the accession of Russia to the World Trade Organisation in 2012 and the establishment of a Customs Union between Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan in 2011 are expected to boost trade relations between the European Union and its Eastern Neighbours.

A policy paper was prepared within the joint project of the Institute of World Policy and Caucasian House “Ukraine: out of the crisis through dialogue”, supported by the British Embassy in Ukraine.