Expectations vs Reality: are the peaceful plans of the authorities realistic?
Maria Zolkina, an analyst at the Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation, has prepared an article for UP.
It seems that we are on the verge of the Rubicon. The agreement on reformatting the Minsk TCG, agreeing to direct negotiations between Ukraine and the self-proclaimed “L/DPR”, poorly convincing denial of this by Andriy Yermak and calls for early and unconditional reconciliation from the NSDC adviser, Sergei Sivokho – all this could be division on the before and after in the history of the conflict with Russia. Moving from a position where Kyiv stood firmly on the position “security first” and did not suppress the role of the Russian Federation as an aggressor, to a period of illusory “internal reconciliation”.
The analysis of the consequences of direct negotiations with the Temporarily occupied and uncontrolled territories of Ukraine, no matter the format, shows one thing: it is unacceptable to agree to such tectonic changes in the Minsk process. There is no way back in the negotiations.