Presidential Election-2019 in Ukraine («Poll of polls» model)
Data Journalism Agency TEXTY took all reliable polls and plotted aggregated voter’s intentions on an interactive chart. The values are the percentage of voters who are going to vote.
Each line on the chart is an evolution of median for support rate for some candidate. TEXTY calculated it with a help of probabilistic model.
Please, take into account that support level for some candidate in form of the single number is an oversimplification. Authors have got a whole distribution for the level of support, so besides the median, you should look to the entire range of values for a specific date. So please, pay attention to the band of colour around each line ― this is the range of values for the level of support for a specific candidate. With a big probability (0.95), the level of support is within such band.
Please, remember: this is NOT an election forecast! This is just aggregated levels of support for candidates based on data from different polls.