What if Russia wins?


Andriy Sukharyna, analyst at the Ilko Kucheriv Democratic Initiatives Foundation, has analysed what are Russia’s plans for Ukraine and Europe according to the “What should Russia do with Ukraine?” article.

Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine has been halted in almost all directions. Having suffered military defeats in the Kyiv, Chernihiv, and Sumy directions, Russian troops were forced to retreat or even flee.

At the same time, the available resources were transferred to the territory of the Donetsk, Luhansk, and Kharkiv regions, as well as to the South – Zaporizhia and Kherson regions. Accordingly, active hostilities continue. The Russian military has suffered heavy losses and Western sanctions are hitting the Russian economy, but the overall resource of the Russian armed forces still outweighs Ukraine’s military capabilities. Despite Russia’s military and technical superiority, the Ukrainian army has shown high efficiency, and accordingly, it can be assumed that Russia will face fierce resistance when trying to advance in these territories.

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