Who voted for Zelenskiy after all? Most of Tymoshenko voters supported him in the 2nd round of elections


In order to simulate the distribution of the votes of all the first round voters between Volodymyr Zelenskiy and Petro Poroshenko in the second round of elections, Texty.org.ua uses data on the number of votes at each precinct.

What we have to do is to make a balance equation for each of the precincts that could be explained by Zelenskiy’s example: the results of each of 39 candidates, received in the first round, are multiplied by coefficient of migration of the votes in the second round (unknown variable) and then their sum is calculated. This sum should be equal to the result of Zelenskiy at the same precinct in the second round of elections. We assume that these coefficients are the fractions of all the votes received by Boyko, Lyashko, Tymoshenko and by others whose voters came and voted for Zelenskiy in the second round. Similarly, we can make exactly the same equation, although using other coefficients, for Poroshenko’s votes.

Read more